Our two hypothetical families demonstrate that
under our patchwork of federal, state, and municipal tax systems, a middle-class
family with both spouses working hard to make ends meet can pay a total tax rate per dollar earned through work that was about two times greater
than the millionaires’ tax rate per dollar of investment income and gain. The middle-class family pays about half of their net worth in taxes, while the millionaires pay less than 2% of their net worth. The examples were constructed without
contriving any unusual circumstances or applying any tax shelters or
“loopholes.” (For details of the tax calculations, download this spreadsheet.)
How the Richs legally avoid paying their fair share
in taxes. Many of the Richs’ tax
advantages over the Smiths are due to their living off of investments rather
than wages. Although the Richs’ investments yielded about $157,000 over the year, 75% of it was in Mrs. Rich’s tax-deferred retirement account and/or in the
form of unrealized capital gains. These investment gains are not reportable to
any tax authority and are not taxed. The Richs can redeem the money they spend
from their investments while keeping their taxable income low by selectively
selling those assets that have gained the least and offsetting some of those
taxable gains with paper "investment losses" from prior years. On the other hand, the Smith’s
income consists of only wages and a bit of interest on their savings, both of
which are fully subject to federal and state income taxes. Since making the
down payment on their home, they have not re-accumulated enough money to open a
tax-deferred retirement account.
For the Richs’ federal income taxes, two classes of
investment income - qualified dividends and long-term capital gains - represent 90% of their reportable income and were taxed at 9% (federal and
state combined), about half the rate they would have paid had they earned
the money in wages or interest. Three-quarters of these tax-favored investment gains go to the top 1% income-earners. The Smiths paid the full tax rates on all of
their income, and have a combined federal, payroll, and state income marginal
tax rate of 33% on every extra dollar they earn in wages or avings account interest.
The so-called payroll tax is distinct from the income tax and is used
exclusively to fund Social Security and Medicare. Since the Richs have no wages
or business, they pay no payroll tax. Because they each worked and paid payroll
taxes for ten or more years, they will be eligible for Social Security and
Medicare benefits. Almost all of the Smiths’ income is in wages, and so is
subject to payroll taxes. Like two-thirds of American families, they pay more in payroll taxes than they pay in
federal income taxes. Only the
first roughly $100,000 of each worker’s earnings is taxed to fund social
security, so this is in effect a regressive tax (a tax imposed in such a manner
that the tax rate decreases as the amount subject to taxation increases).
The Richs do pay more in sales taxes than do the
Smiths, because they buy more non-food and other non-exempt items. The Smiths
pay more in gas tax because they each commute to work by car and have older,
less energy-efficient cars. Compared to the wealthy, the poor and the middle
class generally pay a much greater percentage of both their income and their
wealth (net worth) in sales and excise taxes.
The Richs do not own a home, so they pay no real
estate property taxes. None of the their property, their net worth of $2,000,000, is considered in determining any of their taxes. The Smiths’
property tax is based on the appraised value of their home, $250,000, even
though they have only $34,000 of equity in the home. As a result, they pay
property taxes on more than four times their net worth. Even if the Richs
bought their rented condominium outright with $400,000 of their fortune, only one-fifth of their net worth would be taxed through the property tax, and
their total direct taxes would still have been about $8000 less than the Smith’s total
taxes.
Indirect Taxes. There
are also hidden indirect taxes that we pay. Although we do not write the check
to the government, the taxes are really paid by us. The main
indirect taxes we pay are corporate taxes, the employer's part of the
payroll tax, and, for renters, a portion of the property taxes paid by
their landlords. The following
calculations are based on conclusions that are widely accepted by economists who have studied the matter.
Federal and
state corporate taxes for
2007 were about $440 billion dollars on $1730 billion profits.
Corporations are aggregates of investor owners and workers (capital and
labor). Economists agree that about half of corporate taxes fall on
investors in reduced dividends and share prices, and the other half
falls
on labor in reduced wages and increased prices. Thus of the 440 billion
in corporate taxes, $220 billion comes out of the pockets of investors
and the remaining half out of the pockets of workers (say $110 billion)
and consumers (say $110 billion).
Corporations pay out about 10% of
their after-tax profits to shareholders in dividends, which totaled $156 billion in 2007. Without a
corporate tax they would have been expected to pay out $22 billion or
14% (156+22/156=1.14) higher dividends. Therefore, the value of a 14% loss in dividends
(in both their taxable and nontaxable accounts) has been added to the indirect tax bill
of the Richs. The remaining 90% of the $220 billion in corporate taxes
represents reduced cash in corporate coffers. This $198 billion reduces
the the 2007 US total stock market value by 1% (total market
capitalization $16500 billion; (16500+198)/16500=1.01). Therefore, the
the Rich's indirect taxes also includes 1% of their stock holdings.
If corporate taxes reduce wages by total $110 billion, this amounts to about
2% in reduced wages (total US wages $5842 billion;
(5842+110)/5842=1.02), so the Smith's indirect tax bill includes a 2%
loss in wages. (These indirect taxes should be added to both
the numerator and denominator in calculation of tax rates as percent of
income and investment gain.) Finally, if corporate taxes increase prices of all goods
by $110, this amounts to a 1% increase in prices (total US consumption
$9240 billion (9240+110)/9240=1.01), so both families' indirect tax bill
includes 1% of their expenditures.
Nearly
all economists that have considered the matter believe that about 100%
of the employer-paid portion of payroll taxes (funding Social Security and
Medicare), are in fact paid by the worker. Employers consider the total
compensation to workers, including employer-paid payroll taxes, in
negotiating wages with workers. Therefore, without this tax, employers would very likely pay an equivalent amount to
the employee in wages. (Again, these indirect taxes should be added to both
the numerator and denominator in calculation of tax rates as percent of
income and investment gain.)
The landlord's property tax expenses on rental properties are generally passed along to renters in increased rent. However, the
landlord deducts this expense from his rental profits in determining his
income taxes. Assuming a marginal income tax rate (combined federal and
state) of 30%, leaves 70% of property taxes to be passed along to renters
in increased rent. For the calculations here, the following assumptions
were used: A typical 17:1 property value to annual rent ratio, a 2.2% property tax rate, and that 70% transfer of property tax burden to the renters.
The very wealthy and the working poor. The Richs are modestly wealthy, with a net worth in
the top 5% of United States households. The tax breaks they enjoy are even more
generous for the extremely wealthy. Three-quarters of investment gains that are taxed at maximum rates less half the maximum rates paid by wage-earners go to the top 1% income-earners. Warren Buffett, then the third richest man in
the world, disclosed his income and payroll taxes for 2006 when he stated, "But I think that people at the high end -- people like myself -- should
be paying a lot more in taxes." He reported a federal tax
bill of about $8.1 million or 17.7% of his "income." Adding
in state income and other personal taxes, his tax rates were about 25%
of his federally-defined income.
However, Mr. Buffett's investment gain for the
year was $8.1 billion, about 180 times his federally-defined "income." Put another way, over 99% of that investment gain was taxed at a rate of 0%. The very wealthy can live in luxury on a tiny fraction of their accumulated wealth. Therefore, they never need to cash in their capital gains (and can even borrow against them) to allow them to grow tax-free year after year, which adds substantially to their returns. [e.g. A $1 million investment earning 8% each year for 30 years grows to $6.8 million after the application of a 25% capital gains tax only in the 30th year. It would have grown $1.1 million less if the 25% tax on capital gains was applied every year.] Middle class savers do not get this break on their savings accounts. They need to pay taxes on their interest every year.
Yet, a fair assessment that includes all Mr. Buffett's investment gains as a sort of income in the calculation of
his tax rate should also include the
corporate taxes he in effect "paid." His total taxes, including those corporate taxes amounted to $794 million. That is, about 75 times the personal direct taxes he paid. With those and other indirect taxes included, his total tax rate was 11% of his income and investment gain and 1.8% of his year-end net worth. The same calculation was extended over a 10-year period 2000-2010 and found his tax rate including corporate taxes to total 10% of hid income and investment gains over the period.
In comparison, our middle-class Smiths paid over $28,000 in total direct and indirect taxes. That is 39% (vs. Buffett's 11%) of their income and (non-existent) nontaxable investment gain. It is also 49% (vs. Buffett's 1.8%) of their net worth. By these measures, the middle-class Smith's tax rates are (respectively) 2.5-fold and 27-fold higher than the rates paid by Mr. Buffett.
[Mr. Buffett's portion of
corporate taxes is calculated as follows: Berkshire Hathaway federal and
state corporate income taxes from its 2007 annual report multiplied by
his personal share of Berkshire Hathaway ownership multiplied by
estimates from the academic literature on the portion of corporate taxes
ultimately borne by capital (rather than labor and consumers) $4900
million x .32 x .5 = $784 million. For details download this spreadsheet.]
The Internal Revenue Service reports that in 2007 the average income of the top 400 earners was $345 million, and they paid an effective federal income tax rate of 16.6%. The middle-class Smiths paid a federal income tax rate of 6.5%, demonstrating that the federal income tax is progressive. If you add in payroll taxes though, the Smiths pay a total federal tax rate of 14.1% while the top 500 still have a federal tax rate of about 17%. Adding the Smiths state and local direct taxes and their total taxes amount to 28% of their income. Add their indirect taxes and their tax rate becomes 39% of income, compared to the 11% figure calculated the very same way for Mr. Buffett.
We
often hear that half of American households pay "no taxes." This
sound-bite is simply wrong. About half of households pay no federal income taxes. Most of households
that
pay no federal income taxes are households made up of the
elderly and disabled living on Social Security, the unemployed, students
with part-time work, and large families earning very low wages. (However, thanks to tax breaks for the wealthy, those paying no federal
income taxes also included over 10,000 taxpayers with a "federal annual gross income" of over $200,000.)
There is probably no non-institutionalized adult in the USA who truly
pays no taxes - no Social Security taxes, no sales taxes, no property
taxes, no gas taxes.
Considering all forms of taxation, even a single
worker making minimum wage pays over $5000 in total (direct and
indirect) taxes annually. That
is 37% of her annual wages of $14,500 and could easily be 10 times
(1000% of) her net worth. Her taxes include over $1800 in
direct federal income and payroll taxes, $800 in other direct taxes and
$2800 in indirect taxes (and no, she would not qualify for
the earned income tax credit or for food stamps). A typical widow living off of Social Security benefits of $12,900 (after Medicare premiums are taken out) pays about $2550 or 20% of that income in taxes. This assumes she pays typical property ($2030), sales ($400), and gas taxes ($120) for a retiree. In some parts of the country, property taxes on typical homes are two-fold higher, bringing such a widow's total tax rate to about 35%.
The current tax system is unfair and distorts
incentives. Taken as a whole, the
tax system in the United States is very regressive despite the fact that the
federal income tax is more or less progressive. The four taxpayers discussed here demonstrate this
nicely. To recapitulate, the total taxes paid as a percent of all income and investment gain are 37% for the minimum-wage worker, 39% for a middle-class working family, 20% for a investor-class millionaire couple, and 11% for a billionaire investor. As a percent of their net worth total taxes are about 600% for the minimum-wage worker, 49% for the middle class working family, and under 2% for the millionaire and billionaire investors.
In the United States the wealthiest 1% now hold about
40% of the wealth, while the bottom 40% hold about 1% of that wealth. Thirty years ago the top 1% owned 22% of the nation's wealth but the figure started increasing toward its current level of 40%, shortly after President Reagan started cutting taxes on wealthy. The tax cuts on wealthy investors were extended in 1997 and 2003, when investment income was assigned special reduced tax rates, about one-half the rates paid by workers on their wages. The
benefits of those tax cuts stayed with the wealthy; they have not “trickled
down” to the poor and middle class as supply-side theorists predicted. The
wealthy use their money to influence lawmakers to further protect their wealth
from taxation. The nation is becoming an ossified, almost feudal society in
which the concentration of wealth leads to a concentration of power, which
leads to a further concentration of wealth, and so on in a vicious cycle. This
is a threat to our democracy. When polled, Americans believe that the most talented and hard-working should get ahead -
within reason. On average, they feel that it would be fair for the
wealthiest 20% to hold 33% of the nation's wealth. They
wealthiest 20% actually hold 85% of the nation's wealth.
Whenever it is suggested that the wealthy pay their fair share of taxes, the cry goes up: "But the top 5% already pays 60% of taxes." This is misleading. Firstly, the top 5% own 55% of the wealth in this
country. It seems that they are under-taxed if they pay only 60% of the taxes
while 14% of the nation lives in poverty. However, secondly, the sound-bite is
wrong. The correct statistic is: The top 5% of households in terms of federal
adjusted gross income pay 60% of the
federal income tax. That is, the
sound-bite refers only to federal income tax on federally taxable income.
Federal income tax accounts for only about 30% of taxes collected from
individuals in the United States. Our other taxes, like payroll taxes, sales taxes,
excise taxes, and property taxes, shift the total tax burden from the wealthy
investing class to the working middle-class. It is more nearly accurate to say
the top 5%, who hold 55% of the nation's wealth, pay only about 35% of all
taxes in the United States.
Thirdly, the argument that "because the very
wealthy pay most of federal income
taxes means they are paying enough" is simply not a valid argument. Under
that logic (in a 20-person economy), it would be fair to charge each of the 19
paperboys a 100% tax on their $1000 yearly incomes and charge the bank
executive a 3% tax on his $1,000,000 salary ... because, after all, the top 5%
(the banker) would be paying about 60% of all taxes. In addition, the very
wealthy, to a much greater extent than the middle class and poor, can take
advantage nontaxable compensation, adjustments to taxable income, more tax
savings for each deduction, reduced tax-rates on some investment gains, no tax
on other investment gains (such as unrealized capital gains), and tax-exempt
accounts to avoid taxation on their actual income. This and the fact that
accumulated wealth is ignored in the determination of taxes results in the
wealthy shouldering far less than their fair share.
The example of the Richs
shows how easily the wealthy can keep their taxable
income low in order to minimize the taxes they owe. With two million dollars in assets, their
adjusted gross income was only about $39,000, even though they made $157,000 in investment gains in 2007. They were able to
spend $100,000 and increase their
assets by $57,000 in the same year. Obviously, the recently proposed and defeated federal
income tax increase on those earning over $250,000 would not increase their
taxes at all. This shows we need much more comprehensive tax reform.
The higher the tax on an activity is, the more
expensive that activity is, and so the more that activity is discouraged. The
Smiths paid about 18% in federal income tax, state income tax, and payroll
taxes for every dollar they earned through work. The Richs paid 1.2%, about
15-fold less, in federal and state income taxes on every dollar of investment
income and gain. Considering total taxes, the middle-class family paid a tax
rate per dollar earned though work that was two times greater than the
millionaires’ tax rate per dollar of investment income or gain. This is not
only inequitable, but also has the effect of discouraging work relative to the
activity of investing. Although investment is important to the operation of our
economy, it is hardly 2-fold (or 15-fold) more important than work.
None other than Abraham Lincoln said, “Labor is prior to and independent of capital. Capital is only the fruit of labor, and could never have existed if labor had not first existed. Labor is the superior of capital, and deserves much the higher consideration.”
Reduced tax rates on investments are touted as
stimulating the economy by encouraging investment. Viewed another way, giving
investment gains preferred tax treatment distorts the investment market. It
likely increases the demand for investment vehicles to the point it exceeds the
supply of good investments, and so contributes to the formation of investment
“bubbles,” which inevitably “burst” to throw our economy into turmoil.
A wealth tax makes the tax system fairer. When all property, total net worth, is considered
as the basis for total taxes paid, the Smiths’ tax rate is much much higher
than the Rich’s. The middle-class Smiths’ tax rate per dollar of net worth is 30-fold greater than the millionaire Richs’. The fact that the Smiths’ small
extra income in savings interest ($120) is taxed ($27) while the Richs’ $2
million fortune is not considered in determining their ability to pay taxes is
as astonishing as it is indefensible. Wealth as well as income must be taxed to
make taxes proportionate to ability to pay.
Taxing wealth and a progressive overall tax system is fair in another respect. The
wealthy, to a much greater extent than the working-poor and middle-class, have amassed their
fortunes by exploiting the “economic infrastructure” provided by
governments. For instance, compared
to the middle class, those who have become very wealthy through commerce and
investment have generally benefited more from: physical infrastructure (e.g.
highways); inexpensive fuel (subsidies, military intervention in the Middle
East); public education and subsidized higher education (of their employees or employees of companies they invest in);
subsidized medical care for those injured by pollution, harmful products, and employment;
environmental cleanups; government-funded research; the internet (!); domestic order (system of
laws, police forces); a judiciary (to adjudicate commercial disputes); economic "stability"
(fiscal and monetary policy); business regulation; corporate
subsidies; financial industry bailouts (!!); and so on. Such services are
provided by governments and paid for to a great extent by working-poor and middle-class
taxpayers. They should not be paying greater tax rates than the wealthy since they have profited from these government services much less than the wealthy have.
Consider, for instance, what sort of profit a wealthy investor in a large corporation would be able to make if that corporation's workforce did not receive 13 years of public education, paid for almost entirely by the property taxes on the middle-class. Do this thought-experiment: What would happen if that public education (starting with reading, writing, and arithmetic skills) was suddenly deleted from the brains of nation's workforce. Next remove the roadways and the other government benefits listed above. A minimum wage worker would continue to have a daily struggle to eke out an existence, but a millionaire would have their millions wiped out almost overnight. This thought experiment demonstrates who has profited most from government services. The millionaire's fortune is entirely dependent on government services, but he is now paying for those services with total tax rates (as a percent of net-worth) that are about 300-fold less than those paid by minimum-wage workers.
The real estate property tax, the only significant
levy approximating a wealth tax in the United States, is an irrational, often
unfair, and generally regressive way of taxing wealth. It is a vestige of an
agrarian time when almost all of a household’s wealth was in its real estate
holdings. As shown above in the example of our hypothetical families, the real
estate tax is levied on many times the net worth of most families, but a
generally a small fraction of the net worth of the very wealthy. Further,
taxing the full market value of a home, rather than a family’s equity in it,
places a disproportionate tax burden on young families attempting to gain a
financial foothold. Finally, the property tax does not change when there is a
sudden change in a family’s ability to pay. Should both the Smiths become
unemployed, their total annual tax bill would still be about $7500, 80% of which
is the property tax on their home.
The estate tax, a tax of up to 55% on very large
estates, is a one-time onerous tax bill on the very wealthy. The upshot is that
lawmakers have written laws to allow the wealthy set up trusts to legally avoid this tax. It accounts for
only about 1% of federal revenues. Taxing unrealized capital gains as income
could be an option to make the taxes of the investing class more proportionate
to their means. However, such a tax would be impractical, as it would result in
massive unpredictable swings in government revenue each year.
A tax on accumulated wealth, that is net worth, beyond a large deductible would allow for the elimination of the estate tax. As indicated above the estate tax is largely evaded. Further, we often hear complaints that a large estate tax disrupts the inheritance of family businesses. A net-worth tax would mitigate this by collecting taxes on accumulated wealth in manageable bits over a lifetime rather than a one-time payment of up to 55% at the time of death.
A net-worth tax would also allow for the elimination of capital gains taxes as well as
estate taxes. For instance, a 1.5% tax on net-worth amounts to 25% tax
on a presumed average annual return of 6% on investments. Currently
capital gains taxes have three problems: 1) They discourage investors from moving money to the best investments in order to avoid taxable realized gains 2)
Unrealized gains go untaxed, giving investors an advantage over
interest-bearing saver since their returns can grow tax free, year after
year. 3) They create a book-keeping burden, are
difficult to tax authorities to check, and so are often evaded. Taxing investment gains
indirectly through a net-worth tax mitigates each of these problems.
A household’s financial means is determined by its
wealth, probably to a greater extent than its income. Therefore, in order to
make taxes commensurate with ability to pay and proportionate to the extra
benefits the wealthy have derived from the government services, a household’s
wealth - as well as its income - must be taxed. Net worth is the universally
accepted best measure of a household’s wealth and so is the obvious choice to
be the basis from which a wealth tax is calculated. Several developed nations, including Norway, Switzerland, and the Netherlands, all with very strong economies, have recognized all this is true and instituted a tax on net-worth.
Our economy is far from ideal. Ideally an
economy should allow a meaningful livelihood for all those able to work. It
should allow for a basic decent standard of living for all, including those
unable to work. It should offer
some basic fairness, meaning each household’s standard of living is
roughly commensurate
with its member’s talents and efforts. It should promote activity that
reduces suffering throughout the world. Finally, the economy should make
provisions to assure these goals - full employment, a decent standard of
living, basic
fairness, and reduced suffering - for future generations.
For an
economy to allow the above, it seems that its four components must be at the
correct absolute levels and correct levels relative to each other. Those four components
are production, consumption, private investment, and public investment. Production is making products or providing services. In essence,
it is work. Consumption is the spending to acquire those products and services. In private investment, money not needed for immediate consumption is put
aside in savings, generally
bundled by banks and corporations with money other individuals, and used to
fund larger profit-making endeavors. In private investment, the payoff is generally
expected to be prompt and go primarily to the investors and those banks and
corporations that did the bundling. These first three components of the economy
are generally carried out by individuals or businesses (financial aggregates of
individuals).
Examples of public investment are road building, education of children, basic
science research, national defense and insuring that the disabled and elderly
do not live in poverty. As in private investment, there is the bundling of money
from many individuals for large endeavors. However, in public investment, the payoff is diffuse,
going to individuals and businesses throughout society, and/or the payoff is
expected far off in the future.
Because private investors cannot capture the profit from such
endeavors,
they are unwilling to make these investments. Therefore, governments
(and to a much smaller extent non-profit organizations) carry out public
investment. We have
empowered our governments to fund such endeavors by requiring payments
from their citizens in the form of taxes.
Our current tax system places levies on the first
three components of the economy: taxes on work-production (income and corporate
taxes), taxes on spending-consumption (sales and excise taxes), and taxes on
private investment (income and corporate taxes). The other major tax, the real
estate property tax, is generally a tax on home ownership, a hybrid of
consumption and investment. Taxes tend to discourage an activity by making it
more expensive, so the rates and relative rates of taxation significantly affect
the extent to which individuals and businesses engage in work, spending, and
private investment. The amount of tax revenue collected obviously determines the extent
to which the fourth component, public investment, is engaged in.
There are two major problems with our economy that keep it from being the ideal economy described above.
The first
major problem is that we are not making sufficient public
investments to promote an efficient economy now or assure a strong economy for
the future. For example, in many schools children are not being provided with
the basic skills that they will need to perform the jobs of the future. Because the new global economy and cheap unskilled labor
abroad, undereducated and unskilled
people here cannot find work and become productive members of our society. Other examples: We are
not funding the basic research that could develop into the new economies of the
next decades. Every day millions of man-hours of productivity are lost because of our neglected transportation systems.
The second major problem with our economy is that we have frequent recessions. The following shows how our current tax policy causes or exacerbates recessions. Insufficient
private investment hurts an economy but
so does excessive private investment. The last two recessions were
triggered by
an excessive investment in new technology stocks (dot-com equity bust
of 2001)
and housing securities (housing bust of 2008). A bubble is, in essence,
excessive
demand for investment that outstrips the supply of worthy investments,
artificially driving up investment prices to unsustainable levels. Market forces overwhelm any attempt to rein in "irrational exuberance" through regulation. Wealth that is not spent is saved, meaning that
rising investment rates mean that consumption is reduced. The
number of worthy private investments is determined by the the economy's
capacity for production and consumption. At some point there is a
realization that without sufficient consumption, there will be no or
little return on investment, and the artificially high investment prices
drop precipitously. The bubble bursts and a recession ensues as
investment, consumption and production drive each other downward in a
vicious cycle.
What happens in a recession? Jobs are lost, salaries are cut, and
retirement savings are wiped out. Houses are foreclosed on, health
insurance is dropped, and young adults loose their chance for higher
education, damaging future economic growth. Some families who worked hard to get a leg up never recover. Tax revenues drop. Lawmakers, not recognizing that a recession, and perhaps a recession alone, is a justification for deficit spending, slash education, research, and infrastructure spending, hobbling economic growth for the next generation. In short millions of hard-working Americans suffer. They see the wealth disparity in our country more clearly and become angry. This leads to political instability, damaging the economy further. The size of the United States economy means that the suffering caused by our mismanaged economy spreads worldwide, doubling back to damage our economy further.
Excessive investment caused by our investment's favored tax treatment does not only hurt workers by triggering recessions. It also hurts investors directly. In the 18 years before the
special tax rates for investment gains went into effect in 1998, the
inflation-adjusted annualized return of the S&P 500 companies was 8.8%, close to its' historical average. In the 13 years since those favored tax rates for the wealthy went into effect, the inflation-adjusted annualized return of the S&P 500 companies (1998 to mid-2011) dropped to 1.6%.
That is, the historic return on stocks dropped 80%. This hurt the
wealthy but it also hurt the middle
class, which has much of its retirement savings in the stock market.
A reformed tax system with a net-worth
tax benefits
the economy. Against this background, what would the effect of a
fairer tax system be? Let us say the system includes a tax on household net worth
exceeding several hundred thousand dollars, a reduced tax on wage income, the elimination of generally regressive employee payroll, sales and
property taxes, and the
elimination of favored tax treatment of investment income and home ownership. Investment income and gains would no longer be untaxed or taxed at a lower rate than work.
The
result would be: Taxes
on the wealthy few would increase, and taxes on the vast middle class
would
decrease. This would partly reverse the trend that has
over the
past four decades concentrated the nation’s wealth and power in fewer
and fewer
households. It would allow a decent standard of living for all and make
each household's standard of living more commensurate with its member's
talents and efforts. The current concentration of wealth in the United States is much
higher than that thought to be ideal for economic growth.
Reduced taxation on work income would promote work (production). The middle class tends to spend most of
any additional after-tax income, so reducing their total taxes and eliminating
the sales tax would increase spending (consumption). Consumer consumption accounts for about
two-thirds of our economy. Increased baseline levels of production and
consumption make the economy more recession-resistant.
The
very
wealthy are a small fraction of the population and tend to save and
invest rather than
spend any additional after-tax income and wealth. Increasing their
taxes as proposed would have little effect on overall consumption.
However it would reduce wealth disparity and the market-distorting,
favored tax
treatment of investment income and gains. These effects and an economy
invigorated by more jobs and spending power for the poor and the vast
middle-class could eliminate the investment bubbles that lead to many
recessions.
[A Value Added Tax (VAT)
or other new taxes on consumption would have the opposite effect on the economy. A VAT would make matters worse by concentrating wealth further, taxing
investment income and gains not at all, and discouraging consumption.
Without
reduction of wealth disparity and elimination of favored tax treatment
for
investment, any attempt to end investment bubbles by regulation alone
would be
overwhelmed by these distorted market forces.]
It is
probably not
coincidental that the two most recent investment bubbles began here in
the
United States, the industrialized country with the greatest wealth
disparity
and that each occurred (2001, 2008) a few years after investments were
given
even more favored tax treatment (1997, 2001, 2003), increasing wealth disparity. The favored tax treatment of
home ownership likely also contributed to the recent housing bubble. Nor is it coincidental
that the Great Depression was triggered by the US stock market crash just
after the last time our wealth disparity reached the levels reached in
2000. That crash followed the
real estate and stock market bubbles - of the Roaring Twenties - which
was caused the massive Republican tax cuts from 73% to 25% for
the wealthiest. Then, from the 1930s to the 1980s, the top marginal tax
rates for the wealthy increased to about 70%. During that period the
economy grew steadily, we went 50 years without a crash or major bank
failure, and worker’s wages increased enough to produce a large,
prosperous middle class.
Economists at the International Monetary Fund have recently published a study that confirms that wealth disparity is associated with shorter periods of steady economic growth. Societies that manage a narrower gap between rich and poor enjoy longer economic expansions, according to research published in 2011. According to economist Jonathan D. Ostry of the IMF, income trends in the U.S. mean that future U.S. expansions could last just one-third as long as in the late 1960s, before the income and wealth divides began widening.
Would the fairer tax system described above result in
too little private investment? This is unlikely. A tax and the (likely associated) elimination of a capital
gains taxes may encourage investors to move investments from unproductive
investments to more production ones with better returns. Right now the tax system award wealthy investors who forever hold on to an investment, since the gains are perpetually untaxed as long as they do. Further, the tax system is used to
encourage the middle class to save and invest some of their newly increased after-tax
income. Thus the "job doers" would also become "job creators." by investing in our economy. For example, tax free-accounts could be mandated for all adult
employees except those opting out. The caps on these accounts could be adjusted
to optimize the overall amount of private investment. [Some will
object to this
as a socialistic governmental attempt to manipulate the economy. However,
all
tax policy alters the economy for better or worse. Further, those who
argued
for awarding investors with lower tax rates in 1997, 2001, and 2003
justified doing so
by claiming that it would improve the economy. They were wrong, but they
too were attempting to adjust market forces and alter the economy
through government policy.]
It
is often argued that increased taxes on the wealthy would damage the
economy because the wealthy drive the economy and create jobs. Look at
the last 60 years. From 1951 to 1986, America’s highest marginal federal income tax
rate ranged between 50 percent and 92 percent, and the nation’s average
annual growth was 3.6%. However, during the next thirty years, 1987 to
2009, after the top tax rate was cut and ranged between 35 percent and
39 percent, the economy grew at an average of just 2.7%, only
three-quarters of the previous average rate of growth. The average
unemployment rate was the same, 5.7%, during each period. Right now, the top 5% now hold 70% of the nation's wealthy, up from 35% 30 years ago. Corporations are now holding a record $1,100 billion in uninvested cash. If giving more money to very wealthy investors and cash-bloated corporations creates jobs, where are those jobs? As of this writing, the unemployment rate is over 8.5%. No, the tax breaks for the wealthy and corporations are real failed stimulus package, and have cost the Treasury 10-fold more than the much-maligned stimulus package of 2009.
Eliminating sales and property taxes would act as a buffer
against recessions. Under the current tax system, if the Smiths both lost their
jobs, they still need to pay property and sales taxes, about $6500 annually.
With those two regressive taxes eliminated they would have an extra $6500 in
their pockets. It would reduce their monthly mortgage check (which includes payment into a property tax escrow account) by 30%. This would reduce their hardship substantially, might keep them out of foreclosure, and might sustain
them until they find new jobs. It might allow them maintain their health insurance and thereby avoid the risking financial calamity from injury or illness. Further, they and families like them would not need to cut their
consumption as much. This could help keep a slowing economy from spiraling into
a deeper recession. Periods of increased unemployment would be mild and infrequent.
In summary, the proposed tax system would strengthen the
economy. A vigorous economy would increase income and wealth, which would further increase tax revenue. Increased
revenue and cuts in wasteful government spending (particularly somewhat reduced defense spending and reform
of our health care system to make it more efficient) would reduce the
national debt, reduce the
fraction of taxes lost to paying interest on this the debt (about 7% in
2007),
free up credit for the private sector, and allow increased government
funding
of our new, interrelated national priorities of: education, universal
health care, medical
research, energy independence, environmental protection, economic
infrastructure, financial industry regulation, domestic security, and
international aid. Each of these priorities is a public investment. Each
of these
improve economic efficiency and help build a sounder, more vigorous
economy for
future generations. This increases tax revenue further and so on in a
virtuous cycle.
Reforming our tax system to put more money in the hands of the working-poor and
middle-class would allow more young people to grow up in stable families and
get
advanced education and training. These and increased public investment in education in turn increase the likelihood
that
each person’s success is largely determined by their talent and hard
work,
rather than the financial means of his or her parents. Studies show that social mobility, as measured by income, is now lower in the United States than in Great Britain or Scandinavian countries. Promoting social
mobility here and giving more Americans the opportunity to reach their full
potential is certainly the most effective way to improve our economy,
strengthen
our nation, and make progress toward a better world. A World Bank economist,
Branko Milanovic, has written: “Widespread education has become the
secret to growth. And broadly accessible education is difficult to
achieve unless a society has a relatively even income distribution.”
A reformed tax system with a wealth tax benefits
the poor, the middle class and the wealthy. Clearly, the middle class and working poor would do better under a reformed, fair tax
system that reduces their taxes. The unemployed poor, who now may pay little in taxes,
would do better from a better economy and increased government funding of
economic infrastructure, particularly education. How? They could find employment and then pay their fair share in taxes. What about the wealthy? In a
fair tax system, they pay more taxes, so surely they would be worse off. If one
group wins, the other has to lose, right?
Wrong. Taxation is not a zero-sum game. To
recapitulate, under a fair tax system, the average citizen works more spends more, saves
and invests more, and can invest in education for themselves and their family.
The government has more money to invest on economic infrastructure and “seed
money” for research that would not be funded by the private sector (e.g.
funding hi-risk basic energy research spawns new technology industries and
averts climate-related human and economic catastrophe). The government borrows
less, leaving more credit for the private sector. The economy is more stable
with fewer and shallower recessions here and, given the growing
interconnectedness of economies, abroad. These conditions would be a boon for
the wealthy investor class. Over time, their investments are likely to increase
much more than their taxes have. Thus, a fair system of taxes produces “a tide that raises
all boats.”
Numerous academic studies have shown
associations between economic inequality and poor health outcomes; such
as higher infant mortality,
worse general health, more psychiatric
disease, more substance abuse, more homicides, and lower life
expectancy. Economic inequality has also been associated teenage
pregnancies, and low levels of trust and social cohesion. Among
developed nations, these poor outcomes are generally not associated with
the levels of economic growth, just levels of economic inequality.
Interestingly, the poor outcomes generally extend throughout a society.
That is, they are not limited to the poorest segments of unequal
societies, although they may be more pronounced among the poor.
However, does our tax system really account for the wealth concentration over the last 30 years in which the top 2% has gone from holding 28% to 48% of the nation's wealth? A simulation with two groups - the "Top 2%" and the "Other 98%" - helps answer this question. The simulation starts with the Top 2% holding 28% of the nation's wealth, as they did in 1980. Each of the Top 2% has a net worth of $2 million, like the Rich's of this essay. They don't work, earn less than average stock market gains for the period, 8% per year (lower than the typical investment gains of the wealthy), and spend $100,000 per year. Their direct total tax rate is higher than Rich's, 10%. The Other 98% are much like the Smith's. They start with a net worth of $60,000, mostly in home equity. Their net worth appreciates 3% per year (higher than typical gains in house values and savings accounts, where workers hold most of their wealth). They work with wages of $70,000 per year and spend half of what the Top 2% spend, $50,000 per year. Their direct total tax rate the same as that calculated for the Smiths, 28%. Run that simulation over 30 years and the top 2% go from owning 28% to 47% of the nation's wealth. Each in the Top 2% has had their net worth more than triple. That's almost exactly what's happened over the last 30 years. If instead the total tax rate of that Top 2% was the same rate as that of wage-earning workers for those 30 years, that top 2%'s share of nation's wealth would have increased only slightly from 28% to 31%.
The lesson is clear. If you have great deal of money, you do not need to work, you can spend more than the average worker would ever dream of spending, and still get much wealthier ... but only providing you are taxed at rates about one-third of what wage-earning worker pay.
Currently 66% of polled Americans say
their is a "strong" or "very strong" conflict between the rich and poor.
This is up from 47% two years ago and much higher than perceived
conflict between black and white or young and old. This sort of
perceived conflict can lead to political instability, which can in turn harm economic growth and the well-being of all. A fair tax system would reduce this perception of class conflict and promote
democracy. By reducing
the concentration of wealth into very few families, it reduces their
undue
influence on our laws and government. Increased education opportunity
for all
increases the likelihood that future generations elect governments that
are
more likely to make further smart policy decisions.
Finally, under a fair system of taxes, the wealthy
would benefit from the knowledge that they are giving back their fair share to
the society. Past generations of workers, taxpayers, and soldiers have made the
prosperity of today’s wealthy possible. Today’s wealthy should be willing to
contribute their fair share to making the prosperity of future generations
possible. More and more of the wealthy are coming to this realization and in
the words of a real estate millionaire: "Those of us who have the greatest ability to pay are
not being asked to. I am not keen on being part of the freeloader class." Another millionaire said, ""It’s a sad state in this country when those of us who are so privileged fight for more rather than fight for those among us who have so little."
A proposal for reform of
our tax system. The disproportionate
influence of the wealthy on our tax laws, as they have been cobbled together
over the years, is evident. Given our political system, changing our tax system
to make each household’s taxes truly proportional to its financial means would
require a Herculean effort, starting with campaign finance reform to limit the
undue influence of the wealthy on our lawmakers. A federal wealth tax might
require Constitutional amendment. Nonetheless, attempting to design such a fair
tax system on paper provides an ideal to begin to work toward. The following
tax system is an example of a fair, effective, efficient method of funding
government services:
· In order to capture the true ability to pay, a
household’s net worth - as well as its income - is taxed, creating a “Federal
Combined Income and Net-worth Tax.”
· Federal taxable income includes wages, all
other compensation (excluding employer-paid health insurance costing up to $10,000), small business profit (see below), interest, and
dividends. It exempts only a) income that keeps a household above a realistic
poverty line (say $12,500 plus $5000 per household member), b) out-of-pocket
health care costs exceeding say 10% of income plus 3% of taxable net worth (see
below), and c) contributions to and investment income from Tax-Free Accounts
(see below). All other credits, adjustments, deductions, and exemptions are
eliminated, allowing for a reduction in tax rates. The same modest 18 to 24% progressive
rates are applied to all forms of income and compensation.
· Federal taxable net worth consists of all assets
minus all liabilities (and so includes any home equity) and exempts (even for
non-home-owners) 1.3 times the national median price of a home (now about $230,000) plus
perhaps $20,000 for each household member plus an additional $60,000 for a married coupleplus the value of the family's
Tax-Free Accounts (see below) plus up to $40,000 in furnishings and personal
items. These exemptions would total about $600,000 to $800,000 for the typical
households and so would eliminate the Net-worth Tax and its reporting
requirements for all but about the 12% wealthiest households. A modest
net-worth tax rate of 1-2% annually, on assets greater than the exempt amount
should cause no significant movement of investments to forms that might be
easier to hide from tax authorities. Many pay as much in investment fees. Large
cash gifts to non-charities, which could be used to circumvent the wealth tax,
would need to be limited or taxed as they are now. The current efforts to
uncover taxpayers’ hidden overseas assets would need to be maintained and
extended. Capital gains taxes and Estate taxes are eliminated. Elimination of
Capital gains taxes promotes movement of money to the best investments without
needing to consider tax consequences. Since large net worths are taxed over a
lifetime, rather than all at once at death, the substitution of a wealth tax
for the estate tax would eliminate the estate tax's disruption of family businesses that now occurs occasionally on the death of the primary owner.
· Small businesses and corporations with operations or sales within the US are required to calculate domestic US profits using honest, standard accounting practices (without gimmicks, like accelerated depreciation). These domestic profits, excluding up to 30%, are distributed to each business' owners and shareholders in proportion to their ownership stake. These distributions are taxed as ordinary income and paid by the owner or shareholder. Taxes on distributions to those who are both non-citizens and non-residents are withheld from the distributions at a standard 20% tax rate. (Businesses with at least one full-time employee equivalent (e.g. two half-time employees) unrelated to the owners may retain up to 10% of profits in business
accounts for future growth. Businesses may retain an additional 0.1% for each additional full-time-employee equivalent up to another
10%. Publicly traded corporations may retain an additional 10%. Thus, nearly all publicly-traded corporations could retain 30% of profits in corporate accounts. Owners or shareholders may elect to reinvest all or a portion of their distributions (for
publicly-traded corporations this could be done automatically), but
owners and shareholders remain responsible for income taxes on the full distribution.)
· During times of war, a War Tax is imposed and is a
line item on annual tax reforms. It is a 6% surcharge on the Federal Income and
Net-worth taxes (a $100 tax bill becomes $106). This would raise about 80
billion dollars per year, which equals the projected average annual cost of the
wars in Iraq, Afghanastan, and other aspects of the "War on Terror"
for 2001-2020. (Congressional Research Service, 2010)
· All of each individual’s lRA’s, 401k’s, 529’s,
SEPs, Keoghs, health savings accounts, etc. are combined into a single unified
Tax-Free Account, which is exempt from the Combined Income and Net-worth Tax.
Equitable rules for allowed annual pre-tax contributions and age-dependent caps
on the size of the account are established (Perhaps 65-year-olds are allowed
the highest cap at $330,000 per individual). Money could be withdrawn tax-free
for education, retirement, and other endeavors society would like to subsidize
and promote. The accounts are set up automatically for each adult employee
unless he or she opts out.
· Social Security and Medicare are paid out of
general federal revenues. Payroll taxes on individuals and employers are
eliminated. Economists agree that employer contributions to payroll taxes are paid for almost entirely by the employees, in reduced salaries. This would allow employers to increase
salaries and a 10% or more increase in the minimum wage.
· State income taxes in their current form, sales
taxes, property taxes, highway tolls, etc. are all eliminated. These taxes are
among the most regressive components of our tax system. A fractional
surcharge, determined by each state and municipality, on the Federal Combined
Income and Wealth Tax is collected by the federal tax administration and passed
directly to state and municipal governments.
· Excise taxes on activities society would like to
discourage, like purchases of fossil-fuel-derived energy and cigarettes, are
increased. Such taxes are justified since they partially offset the costs to
the government and society for these activities. Reduced overall taxes for
those with moderate income and net worth more than compensate them for the
excise tax increase. For the working, disabled, or elderly poor, a small
income-and-wealth-based subsidy (negative tax) is instituted to compensate
for increased excise taxes on purchases of non-discretionary items, like
energy. In calculations below, it is assumed that the net revenue from excise
taxes will increase 2.5-fold.
· Regarding corporate taxes, we often hear complaints
that it is “double taxation” because corporations are taxed directly and then
dividends of their shareholders are taxed. However, economists agree that about
half of corporate taxes are ultimately passed along to workers in lower wages
and consumers in higher prices, rather than the shareholders owning the
corporations. Therefore, each working middle class family, even if it owns not
a single share of any corporation, ends up paying many hundreds or thousands
for dollars in corporate taxes each year. Aside from hiding who the tax burden
falls on, there are multiple other problems with taxing. It makes corporations
inefficient as it leads to business decisions that would be costly except for
the savings in taxes they produce. Taxation of rich and powerful corporation
promotes corruption among lawmakers, who carve our special tax provisions for
businesses making campaign contributions. Finally, taxation of corporations
lends support to the dangerous position that corporations should, like
citizens, be allowed to make campaign contributions. For all these reasons, it is probably best to
do away with taxes on corporations and just tax corporations’ owners through a
income tax on required distributions of profits. Corporations would be required to figure their domestic US profits
under standard, honest accounting rules and distribute these profits, with up to 30% in exclusions to their investors (in proportion to their share
ownership). Those human owners pay income taxes on those dividends at the same
rate as any other income. Corporations would suddenly have the incentive to
maximize profits in order to attract investors, rather than minimize profits to
avoid taxes. This would favor economic growth, remove the corporate tax burden
from workers, and yield about the same tax revenue as under the current taxes
on corporations and corporate dividends. Elimination of corporate taxes would
give United States companies a great advantage and would attract businesses to
the country.
· All exempt amounts and bracket limits are
automatically indexed for inflation.
· Taxes apply to United States citizens and
residents. Taxes on dividends from US corporations are withheld for
non-resident, non-citizens to the extent the corporation derives its profits
from within the United States.
Our
federal tax code consists of about 60,000 pages. It is so complex and opaque
that everyone suspects that there are special provisions that benefit the
powerful and well-connected buried within it. They are right. Each year
Americans spend an estimated 6 billion hours deciphering our tax code at a cost
of about 200 billion dollars. Under the suggested scheme the federal tax code
could be reduced to a few hundred pages. Each state’s and municipality’s tax
statute could be reduced to a few sentences. Nearly all families could fill out
their one-page combined federal-state-municipal tax return in less than one
hour. The tax code could be easily understood, so everyone could see that all
taxpayers are paying their fair share. Hundreds of thousands of tax lawyers,
accountants, state revenue officials, municipal tax assessors, and toll
collectors could move into more productive occupations.
Under the overhauled tax
system and rates proposed above, very rough calculations show that in 2007 a
federal net-worth tax annual rate of 1% to 2% for over for on any portion of a
typical household’s net worth over an exempt amount of about $800,000 (e.g. the effective tax tax would range from 0.2% on net-worths of about $1 million ($2000 tax) up to 2.0% on net-worths over about $30 million), would produce about $500 billion in
federal revenue. This would have allowed the reduction of progressive federal
income tax rates to range from 18 up to 24% (e.g. effective tax rates of 19% for $100,000; 24% on $500,000 and over),
eliminated the 2007 deficit, and still left some revenue to reduce the national
debt and begin funding important national priorities. The Net-worth Tax would
have yielded about one-third of the revenues collected from households under
the Combined Income and Net-worth Tax. These tax reforms, combined with sensible spending cuts that are two-fold larger than the total revenue increase, would yield federal budget surpluses and the elimination of the national over 30 years. A roughly 100% surcharge on the Federal
Combined Tax would be needed to fund all state and municipal government
expenditures.
Under the
income-and-wealth-based tax system and rates described above, in 2007 the
hypothetical working, middle-class Smiths would have had a total federal,
state, and municipal tax bill of about $16,000 (rather than $28,000), and the
millionaire Richs would have paid about $55,000 (rather than $32,000). The Smith's total tax bill would have amounted to 22% of their $73,000 current income and investment gain. The Richs' total tax bill would have amounted to 35% of their $157,000 current income and investment gain. The Smiths’ total tax bill is reduced from 49% to 28% of their net worth. The millionaire Richs’ total tax bill is
increased from 1.6% to 2.8% of their net worth. Seems only fair, or at least
somewhat fairer.
-Peter Gloor;
July 14, 2009 http://fairsharetaxes.org Last modified February 02, 2012